GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portland Timbers II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

14.2%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Timbers IIWWLWD

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
San Jose Earthquakes IILWLWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Portland Timbers IISan Jose Earthquakes II
42.4Attack65.0
63.6Defence58.3
63.6Form48.3
58.4Power56.0
1.18xG1.30
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