Portland Timbers IIvs
Austin II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austin II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Timbers II 2-1 Austin II
Original prediction
Austin II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.4% | 25.9% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 25.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.8% | 48.2% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Austin II
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40