Portland Thorns Wvs
Washington Spirit W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Thorns W 1-2 Washington Spirit W
Original prediction
Washington Spirit W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.5% | 33.6% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.2% | 29.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.2% | 36.7% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Washington Spirit W
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40