GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portland Thorns W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Utah Royals W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Utah Royals W hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the NWSL Women, while Utah Royals W holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

12.5%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Thorns WLWDLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Utah Royals WWWDWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Portland Thorns WUtah Royals W
56.1Attack58.3
50.9Defence61.7
54.4Form60.0
54.6Power60.9
1.36xG1.59
View match centre →