Portland Thorns Wvs
Seattle Reign FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 3/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Thorns W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Seattle Reign FC W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the NWSL Women, while Portland Thorns W holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Thorns W
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
13.3%
Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20