Portland Thorns Wvs
Racing Louisville W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 7/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Portland Thorns W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Racing Louisville W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the NWSL Women, while Portland Thorns W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Thorns W
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
9.8%
Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40