GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portland Thorns W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kansas City W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the NWSL Women, while Portland Thorns W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Thorns W

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

12.0%

Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Thorns WLWWLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Kansas City WLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Portland Thorns WKansas City W
56.1Attack51.7
50.9Defence53.3
54.4Form50.0
54.6Power51.9
1.70xG1.38
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