Portland Thorns Wvs
Houston Dash W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/27/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Thorns W 1-1 Houston Dash W
Original prediction
Portland Thorns W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 62.8% | 57.9% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.5% | 21.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 5.36 | 16.7% | 20.3% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Portland Thorns W
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40