GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/15/2023, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Portland Thorns W are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Houston Dash W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the NWSL Women, while Portland Thorns W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Thorns W

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Thorns WWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Houston Dash WWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Portland Thorns WHouston Dash W
56.1Attack37.0
50.9Defence51.9
54.4Form37.0
54.6Power44.1
1.80xG0.96
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