Portland Thorns Wvs
Denver Summit W
SCHEDULEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/23/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Thorns W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Denver Summit W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and portland Thorns W hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the NWSL Women, favouring Portland Thorns W with 13.5% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Thorns W
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
13.5%
Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20