GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Angel City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portland Thorns W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Angel City W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.6 against 54.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the NWSL Women, while Angel City W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Angel City W

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

13.5%

Angel City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Thorns WLWWWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Angel City WLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Portland Thorns WAngel City W
56.1Attack51.0
50.9Defence62.7
54.4Form47.1
54.6Power54.3
1.35xG1.36
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