Portland Hearts of Pinevs
Westchester SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Hearts of Pine 2-1 Westchester SC
Original prediction
Portland Hearts of Pine
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 42.8% | 38.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.4% | 22.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 31.7% | 38.6% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Portland Hearts of Pine
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00