GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 6/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portland Hearts of Pine are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Hearts of Pine hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the USL League One, while Portland Hearts of Pine holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Hearts of Pine

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

10.8%

Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Hearts of PineLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Richmond KickersLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Portland Hearts of PineRichmond Kickers
50.9Attack31.6
42.1Defence38.6
36.8Form31.6
44.5Power36.1
2.06xG0.98
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