Portland Hearts of Pinevs
Richmond Kickers
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 6/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Hearts of Pine are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Hearts of Pine hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the USL League One, while Portland Hearts of Pine holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Hearts of Pine
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
10.8%
Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80