Portland Hearts of Pinevs
Rhode Island
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One Cup · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Hearts of Pine are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rhode Island are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the USL League One Cup, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
13.2%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00