Portland Hearts of Pinevs
One Knoxville
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 4/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Hearts of Pine are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while One Knoxville are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
11.3%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00