GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Portland Hearts of Pine are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while NY Cosmos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Hearts of Pine hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the USL League One, while Portland Hearts of Pine holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Hearts of Pine

Probability

68.2%

Model confidence

9.8%

Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Hearts of PineDDDLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NY CosmosLDWWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Portland Hearts of PineNY Cosmos
50.9Attack33.3
42.1Defence25.9
36.8Form20.4
44.5Power29.9
2.54xG1.02
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