Portland Hearts of Pinevs
Naples
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Hearts of Pine are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Naples are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Hearts of Pine hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the USL League One, while Portland Hearts of Pine holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Hearts of Pine
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
12.0%
Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60