GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/23/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Portland Hearts of Pine are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Hearts of Pine hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the USL League One, while Portland Hearts of Pine holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Hearts of Pine

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Hearts of PineWDLWD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Greenville TriumphLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Hearts of PineGreenville Triumph
50.9Attack36.8
42.1Defence43.9
36.8Form33.3
44.5Power40.1
1.87xG1.16
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