Portland Hearts of Pinevs
Fort Wayne
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fort Wayne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Hearts of Pine 1-4 Fort Wayne
Original prediction
Fort Wayne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.8% | 35.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.9% | 24.6% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.3% | 40.2% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Fort Wayne
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00