USA · USL League One · 10/24/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Hearts of Pine 4-1 Charlotte Independence
Original prediction
Charlotte Independence
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 25.8% | 24.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.5% | 23.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 51.6% | 51.6% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80