Portland Hearts of Pinevs
Boise
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2 Boise
Original prediction
Boise
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.41 | 26.4% | 30.2% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 26.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 49.7% | 43.2% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Boise
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Boise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Portland Hearts of PineDLDWW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BoiseWLDDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Hearts of PineBoise
49.4Attack51.7
39.1Defence55.2
35.6Form56.3
43.1Power56.3
1.37xG1.81