Portland Hearts of Pinevs
Alta
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Hearts of Pine 1-0 Alta
Original prediction
Portland Hearts of Pine
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 47.9% | 40.7% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.8% | 23.4% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.3% | 35.9% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Portland Hearts of Pine
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00