USL W LeagueUSL W League
Wednesday, 10 June 2026Last updated 12:42
Portland Cherry Bombs FC W

Portland Cherry Bombs FC W

Home
L
12
Full time
Olympia W

Olympia W

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Portland Cherry Bombs FC W
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Olympia W
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Portland Cherry Bombs FC W
34
Olympia W
73
Defence
Portland Cherry Bombs FC W
27
Olympia W
66
Momentum
Portland Cherry Bombs FC W
0
Olympia W
100
Danger (xG)
Portland Cherry Bombs FC W
0.90
Olympia W
1.80
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.50 xG for Portland Cherry Bombs FC W and 1.29 xG for Olympia W. Olympia W's projected xG of 1.29 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Portland Cherry Bombs FC W's defensive record — 3 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with Olympia W's limited attacking output (2 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.78 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Portland Cherry Bombs FC W)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Olympia W)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Portland Cherry Bombs FC W)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Olympia W)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Portland Cherry Bombs FC WPortland Cherry Bombs FC W
L
Olympia WOlympia W
WL

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Analysis

Portland Cherry Bombs FC W Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Portland Cherry Bombs FC W host Olympia W in USL W League. Portland Cherry Bombs FC W have recorded LLLDDW in recent matches while Olympia W arrive with a run of WLWDLL. These sides have met 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Portland Cherry Bombs FC W's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 52% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Portland Cherry Bombs FC W have averaged 1.10 goals per game recently while Olympia W have managed 0.79. Portland Cherry Bombs FC W carry the sharper attacking edge — a factor the model weighs in its Portland Cherry Bombs FC W win projection.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Olympia W have won 2 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Portland Cherry Bombs FC W carry the stronger underlying metrics, Olympia W's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Portland Cherry Bombs FC W hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Portland Cherry Bombs FC W.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Portland Cherry Bombs FC W, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Olympia W score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • Portland Cherry Bombs FC W have been conceding 1.58 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.21 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Portland Cherry Bombs FC W 0Draws 01 Olympia W
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
10 Jun 2026
Portland Cherry Bombs FC W
L12
Olympia W

Recent form

Portland Cherry Bombs FC W

Portland Cherry Bombs FC W

L
vs Olympia W
10 Jun 2026
12
Olympia W

Olympia W

W
@ Portland Cherry Bombs FC W
10 Jun 2026
21
L
vs Salmon Bay W
16 May 2026
04

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Portland Cherry Bombs FC W vs Olympia W?

GoalVio's model predicts Portland Cherry Bombs FC W to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Portland Cherry Bombs FC W vs Olympia W?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Portland Cherry Bombs FC W vs Olympia W?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Portland Cherry Bombs FC W vs Olympia W?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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