Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 12:34
Portimonense

Portimonense

Home
L
03
Full time
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Rio Ave34%
Portimonense31%
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Rio Ave
Win probability
Portimonense
31%
Draw
35%
Rio Ave
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Portimonense
9
Rio Ave
94
Defence
Portimonense
6
Rio Ave
91
Momentum
Portimonense
0
Rio Ave
100
Danger (xG)
Portimonense
0.00
Rio Ave
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Portimonense)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Rio Ave)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Portimonense)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Rio Ave)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PortimonensePortimonense
L
Rio AveRio Ave
WDL

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Portimonense31%
Draw35%
Rio Ave34%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Portimonense head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Rio Ave arrive in mixed form (W). Portimonense have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Rio Ave over 1 games.

Tactically, Rio Ave hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Portimonense defence (6/100), while Portimonense's attack faces a watertight Rio Ave backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Portimonense have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Rio Ave have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

Rio Ave have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Rio Ave to win with 35% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Portimonense 3117%, Draw 3504%, Rio Ave 3379%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Portimonense 0Draws 01 Rio Ave
Avg goals: 3.0
15 Jul 2026
Portimonense
L03
Rio Ave

Recent form

Portimonense

Portimonense

L
vs Rio Ave
15 Jul 2026
03
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

W
@ Portimonense
15 Jul 2026
30
D
@ Casa Pia
16 May 2026
11
L
vs Sporting CP
11 May 2026
14

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Portimonense vs Rio Ave?

GoalVio's model predicts Rio Ave to win with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Rio Ave?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Portimonense vs Rio Ave?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Portimonense vs Rio Ave?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more