Portimonensevs
Leixoes
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Portimonense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Leixoes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Leixoes hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (41.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.4% in the Segunda Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
19.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80