Portimonensevs
Leixoes
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Portimonense 0-0 Leixoes, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Portimonense 0-2 Leixoes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.6% | 35.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.8% | 30.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.6% | 34.4% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Portimonense 0–0 Leixoes
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PortimonenseDWWLD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LeixoesLWLWW
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PortimonenseLeixoes
37.3Attack28.4
47.1Defence62.7
33.3Form36.3
41.1Power44.9
0.88xG0.83