Portimonense U23vs
Marítimo U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portimonense U23 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portimonense U23 3-2 Marítimo U23
Original prediction
Portimonense U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.5% | 42.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.1% | 28.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.4% | 29.1% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Portimonense U23
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Portimonense U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80