Portimonense U23vs
Academico Viseu U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Academico Viseu U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portimonense U23 1-2 Academico Viseu U23
Original prediction
Academico Viseu U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.21 | 21.4% | 30.1% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.0% | 28.2% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 54.6% | 41.8% | -12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Academico Viseu U23
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Academico Viseu U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60