Porthmadogvs
Ruthin Town
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porthmadog · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Porthmadog 3-0 Ruthin Town
Original prediction
Porthmadog
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.4% | 65.8% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 18.3% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 19.9% | 15.9% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–09%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Porthmadog
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
65.8%
Porthmadog has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40