Porthmadogvs
Brickfield Rangers
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 10/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brickfield Rangers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Porthmadog 0-1 Brickfield Rangers
Original prediction
Brickfield Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.5% | 31.2% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 26.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.4% | 42.5% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Brickfield Rangers
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Brickfield Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20