Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Portadown 0-1 Linfield, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Portadown 1-2 Linfield
Original prediction
Linfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.08 | 14.8% | 17.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.3% | 24.0% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 63.8% | 58.8% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Projected Score
Portadown 0–1 Linfield
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Linfield
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Linfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PortadownLWDWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LinfieldWDWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PortadownLinfield
27.8Attack50.0
41.7Defence75.0
22.2Form80.6
33.5Power70.9
0.43xG1.80