Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portadown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portadown are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Institute are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.9 against 59.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Championship, while Portadown holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portadown
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Portadown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00