Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glentoran · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portadown 0-0 Glentoran
Original prediction
Glentoran
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.77 | 19.0% | 19.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.3% | 24.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.7% | 56.4% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Glentoran
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Glentoran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PortadownWLLDL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GlentoranWWWLD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PortadownGlentoran
18.5Attack48.1
29.6Defence63.0
3.7Form48.1
21.9Power54.4
0.65xG2.00