Portadownvs
Coleraine FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coleraine FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portadown 0-3 Coleraine FC
Original prediction
Coleraine FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.55 | 12.0% | 23.1% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.71 | 19.3% | 24.9% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.32 | 68.7% | 51.9% | -16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Coleraine FC
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Coleraine FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80