Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portadown are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bangor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.9 against 61.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Championship, while Bangor holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bangor
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Bangor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80