GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 2/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Port Vale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Port Vale are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Stockport County are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.9 against 40.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Port Vale holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Port Vale

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Port Vale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Port ValeDLWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Stockport CountyDWWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Port ValeStockport County
25.0Attack33.3
58.3Defence50.0
33.3Form33.3
41.9Power40.9
1.49xG1.23
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