Port Valevs
Newcastle United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Port Vale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Port Vale are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Newcastle United U21 are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Port Vale hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Port Vale holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Port Vale
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Port Vale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50