Port Valevs
Leeds United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Port Vale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Port Vale are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leeds United U21 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Port Vale hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Port Vale holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Port Vale
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Port Vale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00