Port ValevsFleetwood Town

Port Vale are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fleetwood Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fleetwood Town hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Fleetwood Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.