Port Melbournevs
North Geelong Warriors
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Geelong Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Port Melbourne are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while North Geelong Warriors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and North Geelong Warriors hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Victoria NPL 2, while North Geelong Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
North Geelong Warriors
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
North Geelong Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00