GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Geelong Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Port Melbourne are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while North Geelong Warriors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and North Geelong Warriors hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Victoria NPL 2, while North Geelong Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Geelong Warriors

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

North Geelong Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Port MelbourneDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
North Geelong WarriorsLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Port MelbourneNorth Geelong Warriors
19.4Attack45.8
27.8Defence29.2
23.6Form38.9
26.8Power40.5
1.31xG1.94
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