Port Melbournevs
Moreland City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 3/4/2023, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Port Melbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Port Melbourne are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Moreland City are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Port Melbourne hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 24.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.0% in the Victoria NPL, while Port Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Port Melbourne
Probability
87.0%
Model confidence
87.0%
Port Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50