Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Port FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Port FC 3-2 Pattani
Original prediction
Port FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 76.5% | 53.5% | -22.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.05 | 14.8% | 23.7% | 8.9 pts |
| Away | 10.32 | 8.7% | 22.8% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Port FC
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Port FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Port FCLLLWW
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
PattaniLWDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Port FCPattani
55.6Attack22.2
55.6Defence55.6
66.7Form44.4
62.6Power43.8
1.66xG1.06