Port FCvs
Lamphun Warrior
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Port FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Port FC 2-1 Lamphun Warrior
Original prediction
Port FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.4% | 53.5% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 18.5% | 24.3% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 8.21 | 11.0% | 22.2% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Port FC
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Port FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60