Pors Grenlandvs
Vidar
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pors Grenland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pors Grenland 4-1 Vidar
Original prediction
Pors Grenland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.0% | 51.2% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.74 | 19.2% | 23.7% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 5.40 | 16.8% | 25.1% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Pors Grenland
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Pors Grenland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40