Pors Grenlandvs
Lysekloster
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pors Grenland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pors Grenland 2-0 Lysekloster
Original prediction
Pors Grenland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.4% | 48.6% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.1% | 24.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.42 | 20.5% | 26.9% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Pors Grenland
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Pors Grenland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20