Popradvs
Partizán Bardejov
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 3. liga - East · 10/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Poprad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Poprad 3-4 Partizán Bardejov
Original prediction
Poprad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.3% | 50.1% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.5% | 23.4% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.2% | 26.5% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Poprad
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Poprad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20