Popradvs
MSK Tesla Stropkov
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 3. liga - East · 10/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Poprad · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Poprad 2-1 MSK Tesla Stropkov
Original prediction
Poprad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.8% | 38.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 28.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.3% | 33.5% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Poprad
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Poprad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00