Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 202613:00Updated today
Poprad

Poprad

Home
W
vs
13:00
Lokomotíva Košice

Lokomotíva Košice

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Lokomotíva Košice33%
Poprad33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Poprad
33%
Draw
33%
Lokomotíva Košice
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Poprad
73
Lokomotíva Košice
9
Defence
Poprad
66
Lokomotíva Košice
6
Momentum
Poprad
100
Lokomotíva Košice
0
Danger (xG)
Poprad
1.80
Lokomotíva Košice
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.29 xG for Poprad and 1.34 xG for Lokomotíva Košice — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.05), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.64 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.Historical meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals per game — a pattern consistent with the current xG projection and the model's under 2.5 lean.

xG for (Poprad)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Lokomotíva Košice)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Poprad)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Lokomotíva Košice)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PopradPoprad
W
Lokomotíva KošiceLokomotíva Košice
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Poprad33%
Draw33%
Lokomotíva Košice33%

Lokomotíva Košice leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Poprad Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Poprad take on Lokomotíva Košice in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 3 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Poprad

Poprad

W
@ Raslavice
16 May 2026
21
Lokomotíva Košice

Lokomotíva Košice

L
@ Spišská Nová Ves
16 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Poprad vs Lokomotíva Košice?

GoalVio's model predicts Poprad to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Poprad vs Lokomotíva Košice?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Poprad vs Lokomotíva Košice?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Poprad vs Lokomotíva Košice?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more