Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PoPo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
PoPo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while MyPa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MyPa hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.5% in the Suomen Cup, while PoPo holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PoPo
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
6.5%
PoPo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 6 · avg 5.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40