Popești-Leordenivs
FC Politehnica Timisoara
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/19/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Politehnica Timisoara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Popești-Leordeni 3-4 FC Politehnica Timisoara
Original prediction
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.71 | 24.4% | 30.9% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 26.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.6% | 42.2% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
FC Politehnica Timisoara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00