Popești-Leordenivs
CS Afumati
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Popești-Leordeni · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Popești-Leordeni 2-0 CS Afumati
Original prediction
Popești-Leordeni
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 31.0% | 40.9% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 25.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.2% | 33.5% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Popești-Leordeni
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Popești-Leordeni has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20